Debate Obama / Romney: "You're the strongest Mitt" / "No it is you Barack!"

Three days of debate, the U.S. presidential candidates are covered with compliments. A change in tone of the campaign strategically and provisional.

A three-day debate between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama, the Democrats and the Republicans are trying as hard as possible to lower expectations about their candidate and increase those of its rival. It goes something like, "You're the best Barack" / "No, you're Mitt" or, as summarized in this tweet exceeded the Politico reporter Ben White:

    "The idea put forward the debate:" I'm just happy if my guy does not vomit blood and not killed with an ax our rival. '"
This game, called the Motions Motions expectation game (the game on expectations of the debate), is a figure also forced the U.S. presidential campaign debates that themselves. In 2004, Matthew Dowd, one of the most senior officials of the George W. Bush campaign, went as far as saying that John Kerry was "the best debater since Cicero" ...
Part 2012 is played in seven episodes:

Episode 1: "Mitt has never been so close"
It all starts with a memo from Jim Messina, the campaign democrat who says September 20 after "weeks of intense preparations for the debate, including five false debates in just 48 hours," Mitt Romney is "fast, well established and ready to attack the President so punchy. "Episode 2: "Barack is very new and I am"
September 25, Mitt Romney leads the way compliments on Fox News saying:

    "The President is clearly a gifted and eloquent speaker, he will come out very well. Me, you know, I've never participated in a presidential debate like this, and it will be a new experience. "

Episode 3: "Barack is too busy saving the world and he talks too much"
The next day, a spokesman for the Democratic campaign says that the debate will be difficult for the applicant:

    "He had to balance the country with his role as president and managing world events. [...] There will be less time than we had planned to sharpen and reduce its tendency to give long answers and substantial. "

Episode 4: "Barack is the best communicators in the world"
Really, Mitt Romney knows nothing about the discussions! Beth Myers, Romney's campaign, says the 27 that Obama is "widely regarded as one of the most talented communicators policies in modern history," adding that it will be his eighth presidential debate and only the first of Mitt Romney and McCain reminding Obama had dominated in 2008.
At this stage, notes Alexander Burns of Politico, "If two candidates are able to tie their shoelaces and walk all alone until the big podiums, Myers and Messina will be surprised."

Episode 5: "Anyway, it's challengers win the debate"
But the Obama campaign is not going to let it be, and Friday 28, David Axelrod memo sends his own, where he says:

    "Already, we expect a Mitt Romney prepared, disciplined and offensive, as it was during the primaries. [...] Then, debates, and particularly the first debate, are generally favorable to challengers. Five of the last six challengers were seen as winners of their first debate against an incumbent president. "
Episode 6: "Mitt was really bad" (Paul Ryan) vs. "You kidding, Mitt will tear everything" (Chris Christie and John McCain)
The Republican candidate has seen his downright vice president come to its rescue, September 30, when Paul Ryan summarized the arguments against his party's candidate on Fox News:

    "Listen, Obama is a gifted orator. It is on the national scene for years, he has experience in the debates, he has already done this kind of debate. This is the first time Mitt on stage of this magnitude. "
The same Sunday, three days hence the debate, different story for Republicans: The New Jersey Governor Chris Christie said on another channel that the debate would be the beginning of a new era for the country, and that, Basically, Mitt will surprise us all. John McCain, after noting that the two candidates were "excellent," says Mitt him a "more recent experience" debate.

Episode 7: "I, Barack, good in debate? Not at all! "
Also Sunday, Barack Obama, in a rare burst of modesty, it remains on the same arguments aired last week by his campaign at a rally in Las Vegas:


    "Governor Romney is a good debate. I'm doing right "
 Finally, both parties agree on one same language element: in any case, the debate is not that important. The New York Times notes as Beth Myers wrote in his memo that "the election will not be decided by debates" but by "the American people" and that David Axelrod "in this debate, Americans will not be count balance that currently most of spades or the fastest out a short sentence. " Paul Ryan also stated that "a single event will not make or break the campaign."

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The singer of "Groove is in the Heart" (Deee Lite) returns with a pro-Obama clip

Monday is dull, it's gray, it's five days before the long weekend. But do not despair, for the U.S. presidential campaign is here to cheer you up, and colors!

If you're not a fan of the 1990s, the name of Deee-Lite tells you maybe nothing. The tube of this group, however, you inevitably heard at a party:

Twenty-two years later, the group is (almost) always alive and back with a 40 second clip psychedelic pro-Obama. Dressed like a dancer on acid Lido, singer Lady Kier are launching a "Vote baby vote" and "Are you registered baby" before chanting Obama's name:

 
The video is actually a remix of Vote baby vote, a song by Lady Kier and Deee-Lite released in 1992, during the presidential campaign that pitted Bill Clinton to George Bush Senior:

Bill Clinton won the election, Deee-Lite will he chance Obama?

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Why Barack Obama is not yet elected

Winner given by the polls, the outgoing president must face particular concerns about the mobilization of voters in favor of black, Latino or Catholic Strategy "microTargeting" of the Christian right.

Lauric Henneton is a lecturer at the University of Versailles-Saint-Quentin and recently published by Flammarion one religious history of the United States.

Mitt Romney may be the worst candidate of a major party in the long presidency of the United States: any of its predecessors, the Democratic side as a Republican, had had a bad public image for at least quarter of a century, according to a survey by the Pew Research Center.
Despite some efforts, it fails to impose a narrative that would make it humanly endearing it is considered remote, detached from reality (especially financial) means the American voter, and Mormonism is suspect in the eyes of portion of evangelical Protestants, though generally favorable to the "GOP".
To these are added handicaps already many turnovers (on abortion), concealments embarrassed (the health system he helped implement in Massachusetts), and gaffs, as the remarks made public recently about the now famous 47% of Americans consider it assisted and therefore lost to the cause of his party.
The consequence of this bundle of factors that Barack Obama is well positioned in a number of recent surveys carried out in "key states" (battleground states), where the election of November 6 will play: Florida and Ohio, decisive in 2000 and 2004, but also Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Virginia and North Carolina.
This series of polls favor Obama and the accumulation of blunders Republican side suggests that dynamic is starting to re-election of the incumbent president smoothly. National polls, however, remain tight, which may seem surprising, but does not mean much in an election that is not played at the national level, as in France.
Despite this favorable context, however, the Obama campaign team is facing six concerns.
1. Premature failure triumphalism, believing that the election is played, which would result in a double-release effort activists at the local level and a lower mobilization of American voters abstained easily. It is clear that the unprecedented mobilization of 2008 will not be matched, but beware demobilization too broad.
2. In 2008, the mobilization was particularly noticeable in the black electorate. Serious concerns hover for some time after the announcement by Obama to support gay marriage, criticized especially in black churches, who have called on their followers to abstain. Support for President large black evangelical figures like Al Sharpton, announced at a press conference on September 21, he will limit demobilization of black voters also believing that practicing?
3. The same problem arises with the Catholics, who, with a quarter of the electorate, are crucial. In addition to gay marriage, they are generally opposed to abortion, defended by Democrats (even if there is a pro-life Democrat minority).
Catholics for whom the ideal of social justice is more important than the right to look for abortion Democrats, who at the Charlotte Convention in early September, sent some strong signals to the electorate, despite the controversy - widely publicized, the reintroduction of God and Jerusalem in the program booed lay activists. Beyond Catholic voters, the Democratic Party is trying to shed its traditional image of hostility to religion, which is not unique to him attract independent voters still undecided.
4. Latinos, minority growth, traditionally Democrats even though their social conservatism sometimes pushes them to vote Republican, are the other major election issue. The real question this year is whether they will be able to vote at all, since a number of laws or provisions, not devoid of ulterior motives partisan, designed to remove the electoral lists or prevent them from there Register (required to present a valid photo ID, still rare in the United States, especially among minorities).
Latinos, and to a lesser extent black people could not vote on November 6 will be much less vote for the Democrats, especially in the key states of Nevada and Florida Hispanics, North Carolina and Virginia for blacks.
5. The teachers' strike in Chicago, which ended Sept. 19, is symptomatic of the limitations of the balance sheet of Barack Obama, the unions is a historic pillar of the Democratic Party. The reform of the health system, past the pain, was questioned at the state level.
Despite the spectacular death of Osama bin Laden, the situation in the Middle East is far from being peaceful and kindling recent Arab-Muslim world shows that despite the Cairo speech, anti-Americanism remains. The 112th Congress (2010-2012) will probably hold the sad record of less productive since 1947, mainly because of the fierce opposition of House of Representatives Republican majority since the crushing defeat of the Democrats in midterm elections in 2010. The disappointment of some could therefore add other triumphalism, mentioned above, as part of demobilization of voters in 2008.
6. Finally, under the leadership of Ralph Reed, one of the brains of the Christian Right, conservative evangelicals are putting in motion a campaign to mobilize a considerable extent, thanks to the strategy that allowed the microTargeting strategist Karl Rove to contribute decisively to the reelection yet theoretically complicated George W. Bush in 2004.
Less than two months of the election, the issue of mobilization arises in both camps. Surveys are currently favorable to the Democrats and the Republican candidate is not the most charismatic or the most skillful. However, among the possible causes of demobilization on the Democratic side and a more conservative jolt marked by hostility to Obama by the enthusiastic support for Romney, the American campaign in 2012 is far from over.
Do not forget, finally, win the presidential election is only half the battle: Democrats must also mobilize to increase their majority in the Senate and regain the House of Representatives, and hence the ability to pass laws. These elections, at least as important as the race to the White House, are unfairly under-publicized.

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